Jack McBain vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.7%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McBain wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.6% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McBain
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
McBain
MacKinnon
Last 10: McBain 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
5
McBain
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
6
McBain
MacKinnon
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
4
McBain
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,257)
46.0% (11,051)
+2.0%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
53.2% (1,394)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (304)
42.9% (499)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McBain is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (979).
McBain shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
McBain
MacKinnon
Home
48.8% (1,321)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
44.1% (1,289)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
McBain
MacKinnon
P1
46.2%
47.4%
P2
47.4%
46.5%
P3
45.8%
45.9%
OT
42.9%
47.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.5%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |