Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Kadri 46.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 50.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 77.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
McBain
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McBain
Kadri
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
46.5% (866)
+6.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
48.8% (86)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
38.5% (13)
-2.3%
On power play, Kadri has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
McBain
Kadri
Home
52.4% (309)
45.8% (513)
Away
49.7% (326)
47.6% (452)
By Period
McBain
Kadri
P1
54.0%
52.4%
P2
52.7%
48.5%
P3
46.5%
39.7%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |