Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hischier 55.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 71.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 72.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McBain
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
McBain
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
55.5% (1,172)
-3.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
64.5% (265)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
43.9% (164)
-7.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
52.4% (309)
56.8% (791)
Away
49.7% (326)
54.8% (810)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
54.0%
56.0%
P2
52.7%
58.6%
P3
46.5%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |