Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
McBain 68.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McBain
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
54.6% (271)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
54.4% (90)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
McBain
Sturm
Home
52.4% (309)
53.0% (168)
Away
49.7% (326)
56.0% (193)
By Period
McBain
Sturm
P1
54.0%
58.2%
P2
52.7%
53.2%
P3
46.5%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%