Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Sundqvist leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 56.1%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 59.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 58.4%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
McBain
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
McBain
Sundqvist
Last 10: McBain 3-7 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
6
McBain
Sundqvist
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
5
McBain
Sundqvist
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
McBain
Sundqvist
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
44.2% (2,842)
+3.9%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
51.0% (98)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
41.6% (385)
-6.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
McBain
Sundqvist
Home
49.1% (1,379)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
McBain
Sundqvist
P1
47.1%
42.8%
P2
47.4%
45.6%
P3
45.4%
43.7%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |