Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Dubois 48.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 56.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 61.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 58.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
McBain
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Dubois
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
44.8% (259)
+7.7%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
70.6% (34)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
75.0% (8)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
McBain
Dubois
Home
52.4% (309)
46.6% (163)
Away
49.7% (326)
50.7% (138)
By Period
McBain
Dubois
P1
54.0%
44.0%
P2
52.7%
51.5%
P3
46.5%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |