Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.2%). Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Suter 46.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 58.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McBain
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McBain
Suter
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Suter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
3
McBain
Suter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
46.2% (3,223)
+1.9%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
53.0% (281)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
40.1% (307)
-4.5%
On power play, Suter has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Suter is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,405).
Home / Away
McBain
Suter
Home
49.1% (1,379)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
McBain
Suter
P1
47.1%
46.6%
P2
47.4%
46.0%
P3
45.4%
46.0%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Pius Suter |