Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Byfield 45.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 64.3%
Defensive zone
Byfield 50.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 60.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McBain
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Byfield
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
McBain
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
46.8% (801)
+5.7%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
50.8% (59)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
35.9% (153)
+0.3%
On power play, Byfield has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
McBain
Byfield
Home
52.4% (309)
46.3% (462)
Away
49.7% (326)
44.6% (551)
By Period
McBain
Byfield
P1
54.0%
44.6%
P2
52.7%
43.4%
P3
46.5%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jack McBain |