Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Faksa 53.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 75.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 63.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
McBain
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McBain
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
McBain
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
56.4% (289)
-3.9%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
0.0% (2)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
49.2% (126)
-13.0%
On power play, McBain has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
McBain
Faksa
Home
52.4% (309)
54.9% (182)
Away
49.7% (326)
53.2% (235)
By Period
McBain
Faksa
P1
54.0%
61.1%
P2
52.7%
51.3%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jack McBain |