Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Thomas 51.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 52.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 54.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
McBain
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
50.3% (652)
+2.2%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
61.5% (104)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
54.2% (120)
-18.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
McBain
Thomas
Home
52.4% (309)
52.0% (400)
Away
49.7% (326)
52.3% (476)
By Period
McBain
Thomas
P1
54.0%
49.6%
P2
52.7%
55.4%
P3
46.5%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |