Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hintz 58.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 84.9%
Defensive zone
Hintz 54.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 62.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
McBain
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Hintz
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
58.7% (530)
-6.2%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
59.4% (170)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
66.7% (27)
-30.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
McBain
Hintz
Home
52.4% (309)
60.2% (354)
Away
49.7% (326)
58.2% (373)
By Period
McBain
Hintz
P1
54.0%
58.4%
P2
52.7%
59.8%
P3
46.5%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |