Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Bennett 48.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 67.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McBain
Bennett
Last 5: McBain 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
46.4% (811)
+6.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
56.9% (153)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
47.8% (46)
-11.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
52.4% (309)
49.9% (553)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.7% (457)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
54.0%
47.4%
P2
52.7%
46.8%
P3
46.5%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jack McBain |