Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.2%). Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 72.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
McBain
Bennett
Last 10: McBain 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
3
McBain
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
1
McBain
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
46.8% (5,714)
+1.3%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
53.6% (558)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
41.8% (256)
-6.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
49.1% (1,379)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
47.1%
48.0%
P2
47.4%
46.5%
P3
45.4%
46.8%
OT
37.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |