Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Marchant 48.3% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.0%
Defensive zone
Marchant 55.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
McBain
Marchant
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
50.5% (368)
-2.4%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
28.6% (7)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
42.4% (158)
-6.8%
On power play, McBain has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
McBain
Marchant
Home
49.1% (1,379)
50.3% (302)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
45.1% (246)
By Period
McBain
Marchant
P1
47.1%
46.3%
P2
47.4%
49.7%
P3
45.4%
48.1%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%