Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 91.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 90.2%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 93.4%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Roslovic
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
30
(48 meetings)
18
30
Roslovic
Carter
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
9
6
Roslovic
Carter
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
14
Roslovic
Carter
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
7
10
Roslovic
Carter
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
53.3% (8,728)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
57.3% (1,554)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.3% (1,087)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Carter
Home
44.0% (1,739)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Roslovic
Carter
P1
45.5%
53.6%
P2
44.9%
52.8%
P3
44.8%
53.1%
OT
31.8%
56.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |