Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Tavares 54.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 50.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 54.2%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 55.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Roslovic
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Roslovic
Tavares
Last 10: Roslovic 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
2
Roslovic
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
7
Roslovic
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Roslovic
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
54.0% (16,169)
-9.0%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
56.4% (4,298)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
50.5% (624)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Tavares
Home
44.0% (1,739)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Roslovic
Tavares
P1
45.5%
55.0%
P2
44.9%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
54.0%
OT
31.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |