Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Kruger 50.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 93.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 71.0%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 68.6%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Roslovic
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roslovic
Kruger
Last 5: Roslovic 1-4 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
3
Roslovic
Kruger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Kruger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
52.4% (3,509)
-7.4%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
46.5% (99)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
42.9% (860)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Kruger
Home
44.0% (1,739)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Roslovic
Kruger
P1
45.5%
49.7%
P2
44.9%
49.7%
P3
44.8%
52.1%
OT
31.8%
53.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |