Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 94.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 60.3%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 84.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Roslovic
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Roslovic
Kastelic
Last 9: Roslovic 2-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Roslovic
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
Roslovic
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
57.0% (1,635)
-12.0%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
80.0% (25)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
53.8% (279)
-19.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Kastelic is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Kastelic
Home
44.0% (1,739)
58.7% (904)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Roslovic
Kastelic
P1
45.5%
58.6%
P2
44.9%
56.5%
P3
44.8%
55.6%
OT
31.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |