Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Barron 48.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.7%
Defensive zone
Barron 85.5%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 50.7%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Roslovic
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Roslovic
Barron
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
4
Roslovic
Barron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
49.4% (741)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
50.0% (6)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
42.3% (222)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Barron is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barron
Home
44.0% (1,739)
45.2% (480)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Roslovic
Barron
P1
45.5%
48.0%
P2
44.9%
50.7%
P3
44.8%
44.7%
OT
31.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |