Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Brown 54.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 92.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 51.7%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 72.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Roslovic
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Roslovic
Brown
Last 9: Roslovic 2-7 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
6
Roslovic
Brown
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Roslovic
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
56.5% (726)
-11.5%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
62.5% (8)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
47.8% (136)
-13.5%
On power play, Brown has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Brown
Home
44.0% (1,739)
57.4% (364)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Roslovic
Brown
P1
45.5%
51.4%
P2
44.9%
54.6%
P3
44.8%
58.8%
OT
31.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |