Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Greig 49.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 73.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 83.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 57.7%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Roslovic
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Roslovic
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
4
2
Roslovic
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Roslovic
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
48.7% (1,144)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
56.8% (74)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
47.2% (178)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Greig
Home
44.0% (1,739)
49.9% (688)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Roslovic
Greig
P1
45.5%
46.0%
P2
44.9%
51.8%
P3
44.8%
49.1%
OT
31.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |