Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs McLeod 49.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 79.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.3%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 55.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Roslovic
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Roslovic
McLeod
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
4
Roslovic
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Roslovic
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
50.4% (3,376)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
50.7% (296)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
44.1% (644)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Roslovic
McLeod
Home
44.0% (1,739)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Roslovic
McLeod
P1
45.5%
50.8%
P2
44.9%
48.0%
P3
44.8%
50.0%
OT
31.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |