Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Aho 51.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 32-30 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 53.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 64.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Roslovic
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
30
(62 meetings)
32
30
Roslovic
Aho
Last 10: Roslovic 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
10
4
Roslovic
Aho
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
10
14
Roslovic
Aho
24 total
Neutral Zone
Even
12
12
Roslovic
Aho
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
50.2% (6,646)
-5.2%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
58.9% (1,310)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.5% (465)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Aho
Home
44.0% (1,739)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Roslovic
Aho
P1
45.5%
51.1%
P2
44.9%
52.1%
P3
44.8%
50.8%
OT
31.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |