Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 65.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 50.2%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Roslovic
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roslovic
Johnson
Last 7: Roslovic 3-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Roslovic
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Roslovic
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
49.8% (5,396)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
54.6% (885)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
42.3% (707)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Johnson
Home
44.0% (1,739)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Roslovic
Johnson
P1
45.5%
50.1%
P2
44.9%
50.6%
P3
44.8%
48.4%
OT
31.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |