Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 87.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 70.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Josefson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Josefson
Kuraly
Last 10: Josefson 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
6
4
Josefson
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.8%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
56.4% (101)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
44.4% (1,091)
+1.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Josefson
Kuraly
Home
50.5% (1,517)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Josefson
Kuraly
P1
46.4%
51.2%
P2
50.1%
50.0%
P3
49.8%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |