Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Peterson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Peterson wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peterson 47.2% vs Frost 50.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 67.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 76.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Peterson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Peterson
Frost
Last 5: Peterson 4-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peterson
1
0
Peterson
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Peterson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peterson
3
0
Peterson
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peterson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (155)
49.7% (3,652)
-2.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.4% (632)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
55.0% (40)
-55.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Peterson is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Peterson shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Peterson
Frost
Home
44.0% (84)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
46.9% (81)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Peterson
Frost
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
42.0%
51.3%
P3
48.1%
48.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peterson
32.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jacob Peterson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jacob Peterson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Jacob Peterson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jacob Peterson |