Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Quillan wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quillan 45.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Quillan 53.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Quillan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Quillan
Eller
Last 6: Quillan 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Quillan
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Quillan
2
0
Quillan
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Quillan
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quillan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (105)
51.1% (10,321)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
46.6% (1,759)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Quillan is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Quillan shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Quillan
Eller
Home
45.5% (55)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
39.0% (59)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Quillan
Eller
P1
37.2%
51.2%
P2
40.6%
50.1%
P3
48.7%
50.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quillan
44.0%▲
42.1%
42.1%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |