Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Quillan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Quillan wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quillan 45.8% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 79.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 58.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 66.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Quillan
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Quillan
Jankowski
Last 5: Quillan 3-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Quillan
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Quillan
3
0
Quillan
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quillan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (105)
53.7% (555)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
54.3% (46)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Quillan is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Quillan shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Quillan
Jankowski
Home
45.5% (55)
53.2% (331)
Away
39.0% (59)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Quillan
Jankowski
P1
37.2%
52.7%
P2
40.6%
55.8%
P3
48.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quillan
44.0%▲
42.1%
42.1%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jacob Quillan |