Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Duchene 51.8% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 56.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 66.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Schwartz
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
51.1% (366)
+9.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
61.5% (65)
-8.2%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Duchene
Home
71.4% (21)
51.7% (201)
Away
50.0% (32)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Schwartz
Duchene
P1
60.9%
49.0%
P2
69.2%
57.1%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
Final 5 min
76.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%