Jaden Schwartz vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Backlund 49.8% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 83.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Schwartz
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
50.5% (944)
+10.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
51.5% (66)
+1.8%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Backlund
Home
71.4% (21)
48.1% (636)
Away
50.0% (32)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Schwartz
Backlund
P1
60.9%
45.4%
P2
69.2%
54.1%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
Final 5 min
76.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%