Jaden Schwartz vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 52.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Schwartz
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
49.7% (1,038)
+10.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
63.7% (157)
-10.4%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schwartz is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Schwartz shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Schwartz
MacKinnon
Home
71.4% (21)
53.1% (618)
Away
50.0% (32)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Schwartz
MacKinnon
P1
60.9%
49.3%
P2
69.2%
53.0%
P3
47.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
76.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%