Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Madden 50.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 57.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 76.2%
Neutral zone
Madden 64.9%
Result
John Madden favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Dowell
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowell
Madden
Last 6: Dowell 4-2 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
0
Dowell
Madden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
1
Dowell
Madden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
1
Dowell
Madden
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
51.2% (1,083)
-2.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
51.5% (33)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
47.6% (164)
-0.7%
On power play, Madden has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Dowell
Madden
Home
51.8% (413)
52.7% (678)
Away
45.8% (443)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Dowell
Madden
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
46.6%
52.5%
P3
49.7%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |