Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowell 48.8% vs Komarov 47.6% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Dowell 52.5%
Defensive zone
Komarov 54.9%
Neutral zone
Komarov 50.6%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Dowell
Komarov
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowell
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (759)
48.6% (695)
+0.5%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
37.5% (16)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
45.6% (417)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Dowell shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Dowell
Komarov
Home
51.8% (413)
49.2% (537)
Away
45.8% (443)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Dowell
Komarov
P1
50.4%
47.6%
P2
46.6%
47.3%
P3
49.7%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%