Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Gaudette leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 78.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Gaudette
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Gaudette
Evans
Last 10: Gaudette 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
4
1
Gaudette
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
7
8
Gaudette
Evans
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
53.7% (3,740)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
60.6% (71)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.1% (1,228)
-0.4%
On power play, Evans has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Evans
Home
46.0% (913)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
42.6% (770)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Gaudette
Evans
P1
44.9%
54.0%
P2
46.6%
50.9%
P3
41.4%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |