Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 53.0%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Benn 52.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 82.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Evans
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Evans
Benn
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
11
Evans
Benn
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
9
2
Evans
Benn
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Evans
Benn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
53.5% (6,456)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.6% (2,055)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
49.3% (515)
-2.2%
On power play, Evans has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Benn is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,771).
Home / Away
Evans
Benn
Home
53.3% (2,621)
54.9% (4,550)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
51.0% (4,492)
By Period
Evans
Benn
P1
54.0%
51.9%
P2
50.9%
52.6%
P3
52.0%
54.0%
OT
46.5%
62.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |