Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs McCann 50.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 81.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.4%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Evans
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Evans
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
44.4% (18)
+11.2%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
100.0% (2)
-27.3%
On power play, McCann has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Evans
McCann
Home
54.7% (402)
53.8% (13)
Away
56.9% (341)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Evans
McCann
P1
57.9%
50.0%
P2
55.2%
33.3%
P3
53.6%
75.0%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |