Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Boqvist 37.4% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 81.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 98.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 95.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Evans
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Evans
Boqvist
Last 10: Evans 10-0 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Boqvist
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Boqvist
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
0
Evans
Boqvist
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
36.3% (1,095)
+17.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
42.1% (38)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
30.8% (26)
+16.3%
On power play, Evans has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Boqvist is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Evans
Boqvist
Home
53.3% (2,621)
36.9% (542)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
35.8% (617)
By Period
Evans
Boqvist
P1
54.0%
37.4%
P2
50.9%
35.9%
P3
52.0%
35.9%
OT
46.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |