Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.9% vs Brodzinski 50.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Evans
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Brodzinski
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Brodzinski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Brodzinski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (3,567)
50.1% (679)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
51.0% (49)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (1,179)
46.2% (13)
+0.6%
On power play, Evans has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Evans is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,251).
Evans shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Evans
Brodzinski
Home
53.2% (2,509)
51.0% (343)
Away
50.5% (2,307)
49.2% (398)
By Period
Evans
Brodzinski
P1
54.0%
47.3%
P2
50.5%
49.3%
P3
51.6%
53.7%
OT
42.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
51.9%
Brodzinski
58.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |