Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Brodzinski 50.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 80.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Evans
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Brodzinski
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Brodzinski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Brodzinski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.0% (708)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.8% (53)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
46.2% (13)
+0.9%
On power play, Evans has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Evans
Brodzinski
Home
53.3% (2,621)
50.5% (364)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
49.8% (410)
By Period
Evans
Brodzinski
P1
54.0%
47.8%
P2
50.9%
48.9%
P3
52.0%
53.7%
OT
46.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |