Jake Evans vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jake Evans holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Evans 55.0% vs Dowling 49.5% (+22.4%)
Offensive zone Dowling 73.4%
Defensive zone Evans 85.8%
Neutral zone Evans 58.1%
Result Jake Evans favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Evans Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Evans
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
33.3% (3)
+22.3%
On even strength, Evans has a +22.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Dowling is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Evans
Dowling
Home
54.7% (402)
100.0% (1)
Away
56.9% (341)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Evans
Dowling
P1
57.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%
57.0%
55.7%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%