Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Turris 50.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 83.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 50.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Evans
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Evans
Turris
Last 9: Evans 5-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Evans
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.2% (7,653)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.4% (1,312)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
48.6% (580)
-1.5%
On power play, Evans has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Evans
Turris
Home
53.3% (2,621)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Evans
Turris
P1
54.0%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
50.8%
P3
52.0%
48.4%
OT
46.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |