Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Kunin 46.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 84.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kunin 71.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Evans
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Evans
Kunin
Last 8: Evans 3-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Evans
Kunin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
3
Evans
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
47.0% (1,667)
+6.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
46.0% (139)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
40.3% (335)
+6.8%
On power play, Evans has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Kunin is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Evans
Kunin
Home
53.3% (2,621)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Evans
Kunin
P1
54.0%
47.7%
P2
50.9%
45.7%
P3
52.0%
44.1%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |