Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Duchene 51.8% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Evans
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
51.1% (366)
+4.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
61.5% (65)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
16.7% (6)
+38.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Evans
Duchene
Home
54.7% (402)
51.7% (201)
Away
56.9% (341)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Evans
Duchene
P1
57.9%
49.0%
P2
55.2%
57.1%
P3
53.6%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%