Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Rantanen 49.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Evans
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Evans
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
48.9% (47)
+6.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
50.0% (22)
+22.7%
On power play, Evans has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Evans
Rantanen
Home
54.7% (402)
48.4% (31)
Away
56.9% (341)
50.0% (38)
By Period
Evans
Rantanen
P1
57.9%
50.0%
P2
55.2%
30.0%
P3
53.6%
72.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |