Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Kadri 48.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 28-25 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 81.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Evans
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
25
(53 meetings)
28
25
Evans
Kadri
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
20
Evans
Kadri
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
14
4
Evans
Kadri
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
12
1
Evans
Kadri
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
48.1% (12,555)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.0% (1,892)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
41.0% (293)
+6.1%
On power play, Evans has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,341).
Home / Away
Evans
Kadri
Home
53.3% (2,621)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Evans
Kadri
P1
54.0%
49.1%
P2
50.9%
48.7%
P3
52.0%
47.9%
OT
46.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |