Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.8%). Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Hischier 55.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 78.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Evans
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Evans
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Evans
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
55.5% (1,172)
+0.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
64.5% (265)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
43.9% (164)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Evans
Hischier
Home
54.7% (402)
56.8% (791)
Away
56.9% (341)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Evans
Hischier
P1
57.9%
56.0%
P2
55.2%
58.6%
P3
53.6%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |