Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Acciari 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 59.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 58.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Evans
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Evans
Acciari
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
3
Evans
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
52.8% (3,304)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
48.3% (87)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
47.0% (1,073)
+0.1%
On power play, Evans has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Home / Away
Evans
Acciari
Home
53.3% (2,621)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Evans
Acciari
P1
54.0%
52.3%
P2
50.9%
51.5%
P3
52.0%
50.2%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |