Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 73.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Evans
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Evans
Bergeron
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Evans
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
60.1% (13,938)
-6.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
60.8% (3,213)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
53.0% (2,776)
-5.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Evans
Bergeron
Home
53.3% (2,621)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Evans
Bergeron
P1
54.0%
59.3%
P2
50.9%
60.0%
P3
52.0%
58.6%
OT
46.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |