Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Suter 48.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 53.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Evans
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
49.7% (372)
+5.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
47.4% (19)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
39.8% (83)
+15.4%
On power play, Evans has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Suter is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Evans
Suter
Home
54.7% (402)
47.1% (242)
Away
56.9% (341)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Evans
Suter
P1
57.9%
48.2%
P2
55.2%
47.7%
P3
53.6%
48.8%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jake Evans |