Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Johnson 51.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 52.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 53.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Evans
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
53.5% (434)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
80.0% (5)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
40.7% (81)
+6.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
53.3% (2,621)
50.8% (252)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
54.0%
52.1%
P2
50.9%
47.4%
P3
52.0%
56.4%
OT
46.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |