Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs McLeod 47.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 71.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 91.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Evans
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Evans
McLeod
Last 10: Evans 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Evans
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
9
0
Evans
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
49.0% (827)
+6.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
44.0% (91)
+28.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
43.0% (272)
+12.2%
On power play, Evans has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Evans
McLeod
Home
54.7% (402)
48.5% (619)
Away
56.9% (341)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Evans
McLeod
P1
57.9%
52.7%
P2
55.2%
43.9%
P3
53.6%
45.8%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |